Wedbush Analyst Dan Ives Believes Trump Has Removed “Doomsday Scenario” for Tech Stocks, Predicting a Monday Rally Despite Options Market Veteran Warning of “Crowded Trade”

This is not investment advice. The author has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

Market Reactions and Tariff Adjustments

Earlier this week, the global markets demonstrated their influence by prompting an unexpected reduction in tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. The President effectively agreed to a universal import tariff rate of 10% for all US trading partners, excluding China, which continues to face a steep tariff of 145%.This shift in policy was likely catalyzed by significant volatility in the bond market, raising concerns among investors and policymakers alike.

China tariff changes in the last 10 days:

April 2: 54% April 8: 104% April 9: 145% April 12: Exempts electronics bringing average weighted rate back to 104%.

My head is spinning.https://t.co/1ybyzeV8d

— Cullen Roche (@cullenroche) April 12, 2025

Recent Tariff Exemptions on Electronics

Following the recent developments, President Trump announced a reversal of tariffs on semiconductors and electronic products, including Apple’s iPhones, thereby lowering the effective tariff on Chinese imports to 104%.However, it is essential to note that imported semiconductors, smartphones, and other electronic goods from China are still subject to the original 20% IEEPA tariffs, creating a complex tariff landscape for these vital commodities.

Commerce Secretary @howardlutnick on tariffs exemptions for certain electronics: “Those products are going to be part of the semiconductor sectoral tariffs, which are coming…We need to have these things made in America.”pic.twitter.com/2FvptcBzqe

— Rapid Response 47 (@RapidResponse47) April 13, 2025

Ongoing Confusion and Market Speculation

Adding to market uncertainty, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick revealed that new sectoral tariffs on pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and electronic items are still forthcoming and may be implemented within the next month. This announcement has left many analysts and investors in a state of confusion regarding future trade policies.

Tariff and market thoughts post Lutnick interview/comments this am. Worst case scenario taken off the table for Big Tech and tech stocks should be strong in our view …BUT more semi/tech tariffs and uncertainty abound in very confusing back and forth narrative 👇 pic.twitter.com/AFMryLxDJ6

— Dan Ives (@DivesTech) April 13, 2025

Dan Ives from Wedbush believes that the immediate threat of a doomsday scenario has been alleviated, which might support a rally in tech stocks as investors regain some confidence. However, the forthcoming sectoral tariffs are likely to foster an ongoing environment of confusion, complicating strategic planning for companies in the affected industries.

“The mass confusion created by this constant news flow out of the White House is dizzying for the industry and investors, and it is generating massive uncertainty and chaos for companies trying to plan their supply chain, inventory, and demand.”

Traders’ Perspectives and Market Movements

Given these developments, some traders believe that optimism may lead to short-term upside in the market. However, there is an underlying sentiment of caution. A seasoned options trader noted that the market might see a “crowded trade for the upside”in the upcoming days, yet anticipates “one more larger dip in the next 4-6 weeks.”

This tariff news with Trump exempting phones, chips, and computers..

It’s a crowded trade for the upside on Monday. Retail will chase this headline. Smart money will sell into the rally over the next 2 weeks.

Like I said before..Short term we should see a decent bounce but…

— EliteOptionsTrader (@EliteOptions2) April 12, 2025

As the situation continues to evolve, traders and investors remain vigilant, navigating the unpredictable waters of tariff changes and market dynamics. For ongoing analysis and strategic insights, please refer to expert commentary from market analysts.

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