
This article does not constitute investment advice. The author holds no shares in any of the stocks mentioned.
The Unraveling of the Stargate Initiative
Initially hailed as a transformative strategy to solidify the United States’ leadership in artificial intelligence—the cornerstone technology of the 21st century—Stargate is now facing significant hurdles. Valued at approximately $500 billion, this ambitious project is struggling due to internal disagreements between its primary sponsors, OpenAI and SoftBank.
Background of the Stargate Project
In January, former President Trump unveiled the Stargate initiative, promising at least $500 billion in investments over four years to develop essential AI infrastructure in the country. The project aimed to attract a consortium of tech giants, including OpenAI, SoftBank, Oracle, and MGX, all of which were designated as crucial players in this venture. However, it has since transformed into a duopoly, dominantly influenced by OpenAI and SoftBank.
Current Status and Challenges
According to a recent report from the Wall Street Journal, ongoing disputes among the project’s backers are hindering progress. Despite the initial commitment by OpenAI and SoftBank to invest $100 billion “immediately, ”skepticism arose, especially from influential figures like Elon Musk, who openly questioned their financial capacity.
Fast forward six months, and both SoftBank and OpenAI have substantially reduced their investment aspirations for the year, agreeing only to construct a modest data center in Ohio by the end of 2025. To date, they have not finalized any data center deals directly associated with the Stargate initiative.
OpenAI’s Independent Moves
Interestingly, OpenAI is forging ahead with its own plans, often sidestepping collaboration with SoftBank. Reports indicate that OpenAI has been cautious about developing Stargate’s infrastructure on land linked to SB Energy, an energy firm funded by SoftBank. Despite SoftBank owning the Stargate trademark, OpenAI has used its prestigious name for various projects unrelated to SoftBank—such as new data centers in Texas cities Abilene and Denton.
Significant Independent Partnerships
OpenAI has recently secured a major partnership with Oracle, finalizing an agreement for a substantial 4.5GW data center that will entail $30 billion in annual payments, beginning approximately three years from now. Sam Altman, OpenAI’s CEO, previously noted that a capacity of 5GW typically necessitates an investment of around $100 billion.
Adding to this momentum, OpenAI expanded its collaboration with Oracle this week, agreeing to develop an additional 4.5GW in data center capacity. Although the location for this expansion remains undisclosed, the Stargate I data center is under development in Abilene, with Oracle and Crusoe as key partners. Moreover, OpenAI has secured another deal with CoreWeave, enhancing its existing agreement by $4 billion alongside an earlier $11.9 billion contract for utilizing CoreWeave’s extensive GPU resources.
Looking Ahead
In a remarkable turn of events, OpenAI has independently crafted $100 billion in data center agreements so far this year, aligning with Stargate’s original investment benchmarks for 2025—though these transactions do not involve SoftBank. Official statements from both OpenAI and SoftBank maintain their commitment to the Stargate initiative, declaring plans to jointly establish 10GW of data center capacity in the forthcoming years. However, tangible outcomes from these commitments remain to be seen.
As the dynamics evolve, industry watchers will be keen to see how these technological powerhouses navigate their differences and if they can ultimately turn the ambitious vision of Stargate into a reality.
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