Love Hurts and Heart Eyes are gearing up for a fierce box office showdown as they both debut in the lead-up to Valentine’s Day 2025. Each film aims to capture the hearts of moviegoers, but they face distinct challenges.Love Hurts, an action-comedy, stars Academy Award winner Ke Huy Quan, known for his role in *Everything Everywhere All At Once*.He portrays a seemingly endearing realtor whose dark history as an assassin begins to emerge. Joining him are talented actors like Ariana DeBose, Daniel Wu, Marshawn Lynch, Rhys Darby, and Sean Astin.
On the other hand, Heart Eyes is set on Valentine’s Day and revolves around two unsuspecting coworkers who become the targets of a masked serial killer who mistakes them for a couple. The film boasts an impressive cast including Mason Gooding from *Scream* and Olivia Holt from *Totally Killer*, along with Gigi Zumbado, Michaela Watkins, and Jordana Brewster, featuring special appearances by horror icons like Devon Sawa from *Final Destination* and *Chucky*.
Box Office Projections for Love Hurts
Projections Indicate a Substantial Challenge
Variety reports that as of February 5, Love Hurts is projected to open domestically with around $7 million over its three-day weekend. This estimate falls within the previously anticipated range of $5 to $10 million, and would position it as the third-highest domestic opening for an action film in 2025, trailing behind *Den of Thieves: Pantera* ($15 million) and *Flight Risk* ($11.6 million).
Box Office Projections for Heart Eyes
Heart Eyes Shows Stronger Early Indicators
Similarly, projections for Heart Eyes have remained in the $5 to $10 million range, but recent analyses suggest it may outperform Love Hurts with an anticipated opening of $8 million. This would make it the third-best domestic debut for a horror film in 2025, behind *Wolf Man* ($10.9 million) and *Companion* ($9.3 million).
It’s worth noting the struggles of *Wolf Man*, which saw a significant 70.2% drop in its second weekend. Both Love Hurts and Heart Eyes are produced with reported budgets of $18 million each, meaning they’ll need to earn at least $45 million to break even, presenting a steep hill to climb.
Notable Small Releases on February 7 & Box Office Predictions
A Varied Lineup of Indie and International Features
The weekend of February 7 sees a few specialized films making their way to theaters, alongside the two main releases. Among them is the music documentary Becoming Led Zeppelin, along with an IMAX re-release of the 2019 Best Picture winner Parasite, directed by Bong Joon-ho. Below is a summary of other smaller film releases and their expected domestic box office performance, according to Box Office Theory:
| Title | Expected Domestic Debut |
|---|---|
| Parthenope | unknown |
| Bring Them Down | unknown |
| Armand | unknown |
| When I’m Ready | unknown |
| Becoming Led Zeppelin | $1 million – $2.5 million |
| Parasite (IMAX) | $500, 000 – $2 million |
Other limited releases include Paolo Sorrentino’s *Parthenope*, the Irish thriller *Bring Them Down*, the Norwegian drama *Armand*, and the road trip film *When I’m Ready*.While these films may make minor impacts at the box office, they are not expected to significantly challenge Love Hurts or Heart Eyes.
Dog Man: The Dominant Force This Weekend
A Strong Showing in Its Second Weekend
While newcomers Heart Eyes and Love Hurts vie for audience attention, the animated film Dog Man remains the main competition. As a spin-off of *Captain Underpants* and based on the Dav Pilkey graphic novel series, this film debuted in theaters on January 31. It opened at No.1 with a $36 million box office and is projected to generate between $19 and $22 million in its second weekend.
The storyline follows a human officer who has his dog’s head surgically attached to his body, creating a unique and engaging premise. Given that its opening weekend earnings far exceed the combined projections for both newcomers, it’s almost a certainty that Dog Man will maintain its top position during its second weekend.
Predicted Top 10 Box Office Rankings for February 7-9, 2025
Prospects Extend Beyond the Top Three Films
As the competition heats up, exclusives such as Flight Risk and Companion will join other holdover favorites like *Mufasa: The Lion King*, *Sonic the Hedgehog 3*, *Moana 2*, and the Bob Dylan biopic *A Complete Unknown*.Here’s how the top ten box office rankings might look by the weekend’s end:
| # | Movie | Predicted Weekend Box Office |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dog Man | $18.4 million |
| 2 | Heart Eyes | $8 million |
| 3 | Love Hurts | $7 million |
| 4 | Companion | $4.6 million |
| 5 | Mufasa: The Lion King | $4.1 million |
| 6 | One of Them Days | $3.8 million |
| 7 | Flight Risk | $2 million |
| 8 | Becoming Led Zeppelin | $1.9 million |
| 9 | Sonic the Hedgehog 3 | $1.8 million |
| 10 | Ocean 2 | $1.6 million |
As the release date approaches, the competitive landscape remains dynamic. Elevated reviews for Heart Eyes, currently holding an impressive 89% score on Rotten Tomatoes, may influence its performance, contrasting with Love Hurts, which has yet to attract significant critical scrutiny. Regardless, it appears Heart Eyes is poised to secure the second spot, trailing behind the seemingly uncontested leader, Dog Man.
Sources: Variety & Box Office Theory
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