BofA Reduces Tesla Price Target by 22% Despite Positive Outlook from China Sales

BofA Reduces Tesla Price Target by 22% Despite Positive Outlook from China Sales

This article does not constitute investment advice. The author holds no positions in any of the mentioned stocks.

The Current Challenges Facing Tesla

Tesla finds itself amidst significant turbulence, largely influenced by the increasing political activism of its CEO, which has inadvertently infused partisanship into the company’s sales dynamics. Additionally, the automaker faces fierce competition emerging from China, intensifying the pressure on its market performance.

Strategies to Stimulate Sales Growth

In an effort to revive its sluggish sales figures, Tesla is rolling out updated versions of its popular models, the Model 3 and Model Y. Anticipation is building for the introduction of a more affordable hatchback, tentatively named Model Q, later this year, which aims to capture a broader audience.

Sales Surge in China

Recent reports indicate that Tesla recorded 12, 400 new vehicle registrations in China last week, a remarkable increase nearly double that of the preceding week. This surge was significantly supported by the introduction of the refreshed Model Y, which accounted for 6, 600 deliveries during its initial sales week.

Despite the recent surge, Tesla has considerable challenges ahead. After nine weeks into the current quarter, the company’s sales in China are still down by 10.1% year-over-year (YoY) and have plummeted by 41.6% sequentially. This downward trend highlights the substantial hurdles Tesla must navigate.

Looking Ahead

Nevertheless, the recent uptick in sales offers a glimmer of hope for the electric vehicle (EV) pioneer. Last week’s performance marked the company’s most successful seven-day interval of this quarter, primarily driven by the reintroduction of the refreshed Model Y.

It’s important to consider that Tesla sold 30, 688 EVs made in China during February 2025, revealing a staggering year-over-year decline of 49.2% and a sequential drop of 51.5%.These figures underscore the significant market challenges facing the company.

Market Insights and Predictions

In light of these ongoing issues, BofA analyst John Murphy has notably decreased his price target for Tesla shares by 22%, revising it from $490 to $380 per share. This adjustment reflects the considerable headwinds the EV manufacturer continues to face within the US and European markets, which are dampening its sales momentum.

Recent findings from a Stifel survey reveal a stark shift in the political landscape surrounding Tesla, showing that Democratic consumer sentiment has plummeted to historic lows, while the willingness of Republican buyers to purchase Tesla vehicles has experienced a marked increase.

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