Overview of Nintendo Switch 2 Sales Predictions
- Gaming analyst Mat Piscatella forecasts 4.3 million Nintendo Switch 2 units will be sold in the US during 2025 if it launches in the first half of the year.
- While the Switch 2 is expected to perform well, it may still lag behind the PS5 in US console sales.
- The success of the Switch 2 hinges on its launch timing, hardware quality, and the competitiveness of its game lineup.
According to renowned gaming analyst Mat Piscatella, the Nintendo Switch 2 is projected to achieve sales of approximately 4.3 million units in the US by 2025. This figure is significant when compared to the original Nintendo Switch, which exceeded expectations by moving 4.8 million units by the end of 2017. The swift demand during that period prompted Nintendo to arrange expedited shipments of the console, raising hopes among fans that the company will be better prepared this time around.
Anticipation for the announcement of the next Nintendo console is palpable among gamers. Discussions on social media frequently highlight the Switch 2, driven by a combination of excitement and speculation. However, the enthusiasm does not necessarily guarantee success; various critical factors will determine the console’s performance, most notably the timing of its release and the variety of available games.
Sales Analysis: Projected 4.3 Million Units in 2025
Seeing as how an announcement appears to be coming soon (but who knows) – I have Nintendo’s next hardware device selling 4.3 million units in the US in 2025 (assuming 1H launch), accounting for approximately 1/3rd of all video game console hardware units sold in the year (excluding PC Portables).
— Mat Piscatella (@matpiscatella.bsky.social) 2025-01-08T16:09:43.754Z
Piscatella elaborates on his forecast, predicting that the Switch 2 could represent about one-third of total video game hardware sales in the US, excluding portable PC devices like the Steam Deck. He cautions that following the initial surge in demand, supply challenges may arise, similar to past console launches. It remains uncertain how effectively Nintendo has prepared its manufacturing chain for this anticipated demand, but there is speculation that the company may have stockpiled resources to avert shortages reminiscent of those experienced with the original Switch and the PlayStation 5.
Despite Piscatella’s positive outlook for the Switch 2, he anticipates that the PlayStation 5 may retain the top position in US console sales. Although there is considerable excitement surrounding Nintendo’s upcoming console, the competitive landscape could shift due to the release of major titles on competing platforms; notably, titles like Grand Theft Auto 6 may not be available on the Switch. Ultimately, the Switch 2’s success will depend on robust hardware features and a compelling game lineup at launch.
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